VF, how do you not "set yourself up for a Super Bowl run bust" this season? Vegas has us there, meaning most of the world does:
ยท Future Odds
Vegas adjust to Eagles' action
August 8, 2011
By Micah Roberts
VegasInsider.com Share
The NFL just got through the most intense free-agent signing period in its history. While the initial thought from Las Vegas sports books and bettors alike was that there wouldn't be too many changes on team power ratings based on one or two players being added during the period, one team went from being a possible contender to being the co-favorite to win the Super Bowl.
The Philadelphia Eagles had odds of 12/1 (Bet $100 to win $1,200) to start the season based on last years, sometimes, dominant performances by super-quarterback Michael Vick. There was always the possibility that the Eagles would upgrade, but it wasn't until they signed three of the top six free agents that made them one of the favorites heading into training camp.
The Eagles are now 6/1 (Bet $100 to win $600) to win the Super Bowl at the Las Vegas Hilton Super Book, thanks in part to the signing of Nnamdi Asomugha, one of the top-three cornerbacks in football.
Cornerbacks are rarely part of any handicapping or bookmaking equation. Generally, they don't account for much in the weekly odds like a quarterback or other star offensive players do. They are usually considered part of a cohesive unit that continues to prosper, sometimes, even without them. Ultimately, a cornerback's success is dependent on how quick the front seven can get pressure on the quarterback.
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Deion Sanders raised the bar to what a great shut down corner can do while with the great teams in Dallas and San Francisco. Opponents changed their entire offensive game plans and rarely challenged Sanders' side of the field. Before arriving on the Super Bowl winning teams, Sanders was in Atlanta where the team had moderate success.
Asomugha is in a similar situation coming from Oakland. He has gotten a tremendous amount of recognition just because of his coverage skills on the league's best receivers even though the Raiders haven't had much success collectively during his tenure. He was great on a team that didn't get the type of pressure on the quarterback requiring him to cover a few seconds longer than most.
This will be Asomugha's first chance at playing with a very good team and his legacy could be raised to an entire new level because of the expected success, much in the same way Darrelle Revis has gained his while playing for the aggressive Jets defense.
The Hilton rapidly adjusted their on odds on all the Philadelphia future prices after the additions of Asomugha, Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and Cullen Jenkins. In addition to being the co-favorite to win it all, the Eagles are now 13/5 co-favorites (Bet $100 to win $260) to win the NFC and 5/8 favorites (Bet $100 to win $62.5) to win their division.
MGM Resorts opened their season win totals last Monday with the Eagles posted at 10 wins and immediately bumped the total up a half on the news of the signings.
"Having a player like that (Asomugha) on the corner should make a big difference because opposing teams will have to account for him in their game plan, especially within their own division," said MGM Resorts sports book director Jay Rood. "The Eagles needed a player like Asomugha in their division with two pretty good quarterbacks (Eli Manning and Tony Romo) that they'll be playing twice a year."
The only other team Rood made an air move on the totals, meaning bets didn't force the move, was the Cardinals going from six wins to seven on the news of quarterback Kevin Kolb coming from the Eagles. Bets came quickly on the UNDER settling the number at 6.5.
It shows how much respect the Las Vegas sports books have for Asomugha's ability that they have moved odds and numbers so much because of his arrival, almost to the same degree a new quarterback has, the player on the field that has the most impact on all spreads and odds.
Only time will tell how much of an impact Asomugha will have in Philadelphia, but it's a little easier to accept the opinions of the Vegas books over talking heads on TV just because the sports books actually take bets on their opinions. The overall opinion from Las Vegas is that the Eagles will be a major player this season with Nnamdi Asomugha being one of the main reasons.
SUPER BOWL XLVI GAME LINE
NFC vs. AFC (PK) TOTAL (46.5)
ODDS TO WIN 2012 SUPER BOWL XLVI
Team Odds
PATRIOTS 6
PACKERS 6
STEELERS 10
RAVENS 15
JETS 12
CHARGERS 15
EAGLES 6
GIANTS 20
SAINTS 12
FALCONS 12
BEARS 40
COWBOYS 25
COLTS 15
CHIEFS 30
TEXANS 40
DOLPHINS 40
VIKINGS 40
BUCS 30
49ERS 40
RAIDERS 50
LIONS 30
TITANS 60
BROWNS 60
BENGALS 100
JAGUARS 60
REDSKINS 100
RAMS 60
CARDINALS 60
BRONCOS 60
SEAHAWKS 100
BILLS 200
PANTHERS 300
2012 NFC CONFERENCE
Team Odds
PACKERS 13-5
EAGLES 13-5
GIANTS 10
SAINTS 6
FALCONS 6
BEARS 20
COWBOYS 12
VIKINGS 20
BUCS 15
49ERS 20
LIONS 15
REDSKINS 50
RAMS 30
CARDINALS 30
SEAHAWKS 50
PANTHERS 150
2012 AFC CONFERENCE
Team Odds
PATRIOTS 5-2
STEELERS 9-2
RAVENS 13-2
JETS 11-2
CHARGERS 13-2
COLTS 13-2
CHIEFS 15
TEXANS 20
DOLPHINS 20
RAIDERS 25
TITANS 30
BROWNS 30
BENGALS 50
JAGUARS 30
BRONCOS 30
BILLS 100
NFL DIVISION ODDS
NFC EAST
Team Odds
EAGLES 5-8
GIANTS 3
COWBOYS 3
REDSKINS 22
NFC NORTH
Team Odds
PACKERS 1-2
BEARS 9-2
LIONS 4
VIKINGS 8
NFC SOUTH
Team Odds
FALCONS 6-5
SAINTS 6-5
BUCS 4
PANTHERS 20
NFC WEST
Team Odds
49ERS 17-10
RAMS 2
SEAHAWKS 5
CARDINALS 5-2
AFC EAST
Team Odds
PATRIOTS 5-8
JETS 8-5
DOLPHINS 7
BILLS 30
AFC NORTH
Team Odds
STEELERS 5-6
RAVENS 6-5
BENGALS 20
BROWNS 8
AFC SOUTH
Team Odds
COLTS 5-8
TEXANS 21-10
TITANS 8
JAGUARS 8
AFC WEST
Team Odds
CHARGERS 1-2
CHIEFS 7-2
RAIDERS 9-2
BRONCOS 10
ยท Future Odds
Vegas adjust to Eagles' action
August 8, 2011
By Micah Roberts
VegasInsider.com Share
The NFL just got through the most intense free-agent signing period in its history. While the initial thought from Las Vegas sports books and bettors alike was that there wouldn't be too many changes on team power ratings based on one or two players being added during the period, one team went from being a possible contender to being the co-favorite to win the Super Bowl.
The Philadelphia Eagles had odds of 12/1 (Bet $100 to win $1,200) to start the season based on last years, sometimes, dominant performances by super-quarterback Michael Vick. There was always the possibility that the Eagles would upgrade, but it wasn't until they signed three of the top six free agents that made them one of the favorites heading into training camp.
The Eagles are now 6/1 (Bet $100 to win $600) to win the Super Bowl at the Las Vegas Hilton Super Book, thanks in part to the signing of Nnamdi Asomugha, one of the top-three cornerbacks in football.
Cornerbacks are rarely part of any handicapping or bookmaking equation. Generally, they don't account for much in the weekly odds like a quarterback or other star offensive players do. They are usually considered part of a cohesive unit that continues to prosper, sometimes, even without them. Ultimately, a cornerback's success is dependent on how quick the front seven can get pressure on the quarterback.
Advertisement
Deion Sanders raised the bar to what a great shut down corner can do while with the great teams in Dallas and San Francisco. Opponents changed their entire offensive game plans and rarely challenged Sanders' side of the field. Before arriving on the Super Bowl winning teams, Sanders was in Atlanta where the team had moderate success.
Asomugha is in a similar situation coming from Oakland. He has gotten a tremendous amount of recognition just because of his coverage skills on the league's best receivers even though the Raiders haven't had much success collectively during his tenure. He was great on a team that didn't get the type of pressure on the quarterback requiring him to cover a few seconds longer than most.
This will be Asomugha's first chance at playing with a very good team and his legacy could be raised to an entire new level because of the expected success, much in the same way Darrelle Revis has gained his while playing for the aggressive Jets defense.
The Hilton rapidly adjusted their on odds on all the Philadelphia future prices after the additions of Asomugha, Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and Cullen Jenkins. In addition to being the co-favorite to win it all, the Eagles are now 13/5 co-favorites (Bet $100 to win $260) to win the NFC and 5/8 favorites (Bet $100 to win $62.5) to win their division.
MGM Resorts opened their season win totals last Monday with the Eagles posted at 10 wins and immediately bumped the total up a half on the news of the signings.
"Having a player like that (Asomugha) on the corner should make a big difference because opposing teams will have to account for him in their game plan, especially within their own division," said MGM Resorts sports book director Jay Rood. "The Eagles needed a player like Asomugha in their division with two pretty good quarterbacks (Eli Manning and Tony Romo) that they'll be playing twice a year."
The only other team Rood made an air move on the totals, meaning bets didn't force the move, was the Cardinals going from six wins to seven on the news of quarterback Kevin Kolb coming from the Eagles. Bets came quickly on the UNDER settling the number at 6.5.
It shows how much respect the Las Vegas sports books have for Asomugha's ability that they have moved odds and numbers so much because of his arrival, almost to the same degree a new quarterback has, the player on the field that has the most impact on all spreads and odds.
Only time will tell how much of an impact Asomugha will have in Philadelphia, but it's a little easier to accept the opinions of the Vegas books over talking heads on TV just because the sports books actually take bets on their opinions. The overall opinion from Las Vegas is that the Eagles will be a major player this season with Nnamdi Asomugha being one of the main reasons.
SUPER BOWL XLVI GAME LINE
NFC vs. AFC (PK) TOTAL (46.5)
ODDS TO WIN 2012 SUPER BOWL XLVI
Team Odds
PATRIOTS 6
PACKERS 6
STEELERS 10
RAVENS 15
JETS 12
CHARGERS 15
EAGLES 6
GIANTS 20
SAINTS 12
FALCONS 12
BEARS 40
COWBOYS 25
COLTS 15
CHIEFS 30
TEXANS 40
DOLPHINS 40
VIKINGS 40
BUCS 30
49ERS 40
RAIDERS 50
LIONS 30
TITANS 60
BROWNS 60
BENGALS 100
JAGUARS 60
REDSKINS 100
RAMS 60
CARDINALS 60
BRONCOS 60
SEAHAWKS 100
BILLS 200
PANTHERS 300
2012 NFC CONFERENCE
Team Odds
PACKERS 13-5
EAGLES 13-5
GIANTS 10
SAINTS 6
FALCONS 6
BEARS 20
COWBOYS 12
VIKINGS 20
BUCS 15
49ERS 20
LIONS 15
REDSKINS 50
RAMS 30
CARDINALS 30
SEAHAWKS 50
PANTHERS 150
2012 AFC CONFERENCE
Team Odds
PATRIOTS 5-2
STEELERS 9-2
RAVENS 13-2
JETS 11-2
CHARGERS 13-2
COLTS 13-2
CHIEFS 15
TEXANS 20
DOLPHINS 20
RAIDERS 25
TITANS 30
BROWNS 30
BENGALS 50
JAGUARS 30
BRONCOS 30
BILLS 100
NFL DIVISION ODDS
NFC EAST
Team Odds
EAGLES 5-8
GIANTS 3
COWBOYS 3
REDSKINS 22
NFC NORTH
Team Odds
PACKERS 1-2
BEARS 9-2
LIONS 4
VIKINGS 8
NFC SOUTH
Team Odds
FALCONS 6-5
SAINTS 6-5
BUCS 4
PANTHERS 20
NFC WEST
Team Odds
49ERS 17-10
RAMS 2
SEAHAWKS 5
CARDINALS 5-2
AFC EAST
Team Odds
PATRIOTS 5-8
JETS 8-5
DOLPHINS 7
BILLS 30
AFC NORTH
Team Odds
STEELERS 5-6
RAVENS 6-5
BENGALS 20
BROWNS 8
AFC SOUTH
Team Odds
COLTS 5-8
TEXANS 21-10
TITANS 8
JAGUARS 8
AFC WEST
Team Odds
CHARGERS 1-2
CHIEFS 7-2
RAIDERS 9-2
BRONCOS 10
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