Current NFL Playoff Standings:
[Seed] - Team (Record) <Magic Number of games for playoffs/division/#1/#2/#3/#4/#5/#6>
AFC
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[1] - Indianapolis Colts (9-0) <3/3/5/4.5/4/3/-/->
[2] - Denver Broncos (7-2) <-/5/7+3IND/7/6/5/-/->
[3] - Baltimore Ravens (7-2) <-/3/7+3IND+1DEN/7+1DEN/6/-/-/->
[4] - New England Patriots (6-3) <-/7/7+4IND+2DEN+2BAL/7+2DEN+2BAL/7+1DEN or 2BAL/7/-/->
[5] - San Diego Chargers (7-2) <5/5/-/-/-/5/-/->
[6] - Jacksonville Jaguars (5-4) <7/-/-/-/-/-/-/7>
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[7] - New York Jets (5-4) <7/-/-/-/-/-/-/7+1KAN+1JAX>
[8] - Kansas City Cheifs (5-4) <7/-/-/-/-/-/-/7>
[9] - Cincinnati Bengals (4-5)
[10] - Houston Texans (3-6)
[11] - Cleveland Browns (3-6)
[12] - Pittsburgh Steelers (3-6)
[13] - Miami Dolphins (3-6)
[14] - Buffalo Bills (3-6)
[15] - Oakland Raiders (2-7)
[16] - Tennessee Titans (2-7)
Three games are required for the Colts to clinch. There is a rare scenario where the Colts can miss the playoffs winning just two games.
If the Colts go 2-5 the rest of the way, they go 11-5.
If the Jaguars go 7-0, they go 12-4, better than the Colts for the division win. This includes victories over New England and Kansas City.
If the Jets go 7-0, they go 12-4.
San Diego or Denver can go 7-0, or split their two games and both go 6-1, putting one at 14-2 and 12-4, or both at 13-3. Both schedules would include a victory over Kansas City.
Assuming the Jaguars go 7-0, the Patriots can go at max 6-1, putting them at 12-4.
Baltimore is also capable of going 7-0, ending up at 14-2, with a victory over Kansas City.
This would put the standings at (assuming best case scenario):
Baltimore 14-2
Denver 14-2 or 13-3 or 12-4
San Diego 14-2 or 13-3 or 12-4
New England 12-4
Jacksonville 12-4
New York Jets 12-4
Indianapolis 11-5
The Colts are bumped out of the playoffs in this scenario. So basically if every team in this list above wins their next two games, it will require a third victory for the Colts to clinch a playoff spot.
New York Jets, even if they win out, are not guaranteed a playoff spot. If Jacksonville wins out (defeating Kansas City in the process), Jacksonville holds the head-to-head tiebreaker, 1-0. If Kansas City wins out (defeating Jacksonville in the process), they will hold the record-in-common-games tiebreaker, 4-1 to 3-2. Therefore if the Jets win out, they require the Cheifs to lose one game AND the Jaguars to lose a game.
If the Chargers win their next 5 games they will secure the #4 seed. They play Denver twice in the next 4 games. If they win both those games, and the game following, they are guaranteed of having at LEAST a tie with Denver in record. They would hold the 2-0 head-to-head tiebreaker and win the division.
Conversely, if Denver wins the next 5 games, they are guaranteed the division, with a record of at least 12-4. They would hold the 2-0 head-to-head tiebreaker over San Diego. Winning a 6th game guarantees Denver the #3 seed, due to a 1-0 head-to-head tiebreaker over New England, and 7 games guarantees them of a #2 seed because of a 1-0 head-to-head tiebreaker over Baltimore.
Tie breakers:
Broncos are 1-0 versus Ravens.
Jaguars (3-3) and Jets (4-4) have a better conference record than Cheifs (1-4).
Jaguars are 1-0 versus the Jets.
Texans (3-2) have a better conference record than all other 3-6 teams.
Browns (2-4) have the second best conference record among 3-6 teams.
Steelers (2-5) and Dolphins (2-5) have the third best conference record among 3-6 teams.
Steelers are 1-0 versus the Dolphins.
Bills (1-4) have the worst conference record among 3-6 teams.
Raiders (1-5) have a better conference record than the Titans (1-6).
NFC
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[1] - Chicago Bears (8-1) <3/3/6/5/4+2NO/3/-/->
[2] - New Orleans Saints (6-3) <-/5/-/7/-/-/-/->
[3] - Seattle Seahawks (6-3) <-/4/-/7+1Winner of NYG-NO game in W15/-/-/-/->
[4] - New York Giants (6-3) <-/6/-/7/-/-/-/->
[5] - Philadelphia Eagles (5-4) <6/-/-/-/-/-/7/6>
[6] - Carolina Panthers (5-4) <6/-/-/-/-/-/7+1DAL/6>
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[7] - Atlanta Falcons (5-4) <6/-/-/-/-/-/7/6>
[8] - Dallas Cowboys (5-4) <6/-/-/-/-/-/7/6>
[9] - Minnesota Vikings (4-5)
[10] - San Francisco 49ers (4-5)
[11] - St. Louis Rams (4-5)
[12] - Green Bay Packers (4-5)
[13] - Washington Redskins (3-6)
[14] - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-7)
[15] - Detroit Lions (2-7)
[16] - Arizona Cardinals (1-8)
Tiebreakers:
Saints (5-1) have the best conference record among 6-3 teams (others are 5-2).
Seahawks are 1-0 versus Giants.
Eagles (4-3) have the best conference record among 5-4 teams (rest are 3-3).
Order of strength of victory among remaining 5-4 teams: Panthers (20-25), Falcons (15-30), Cowboys (14-31)
Vikings (4-3) have the best conference record among 4-5 teams.
Rams (3-3) and 49ers (3-3) have the second best conference record among 4-5 teams.
49ers are 1-0 versus the Rams.
Packers (3-4) have the worst conference record among 4-5 teams.
Buccaneers (9-9) have a better strength of victory than the Lions (8-10).
The +1 +2 business means that the team following the +# has to lose # games along with the team winning the magic number of games for that to happen.
So for example, with the New England Patriots, for them to clinch the #2 seed they have to win 7 games AND have Baltimore and Denver lose 2 games a piece.
[Seed] - Team (Record) <Magic Number of games for playoffs/division/#1/#2/#3/#4/#5/#6>
AFC
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[1] - Indianapolis Colts (9-0) <3/3/5/4.5/4/3/-/->
[2] - Denver Broncos (7-2) <-/5/7+3IND/7/6/5/-/->
[3] - Baltimore Ravens (7-2) <-/3/7+3IND+1DEN/7+1DEN/6/-/-/->
[4] - New England Patriots (6-3) <-/7/7+4IND+2DEN+2BAL/7+2DEN+2BAL/7+1DEN or 2BAL/7/-/->
[5] - San Diego Chargers (7-2) <5/5/-/-/-/5/-/->
[6] - Jacksonville Jaguars (5-4) <7/-/-/-/-/-/-/7>
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[7] - New York Jets (5-4) <7/-/-/-/-/-/-/7+1KAN+1JAX>
[8] - Kansas City Cheifs (5-4) <7/-/-/-/-/-/-/7>
[9] - Cincinnati Bengals (4-5)
[10] - Houston Texans (3-6)
[11] - Cleveland Browns (3-6)
[12] - Pittsburgh Steelers (3-6)
[13] - Miami Dolphins (3-6)
[14] - Buffalo Bills (3-6)
[15] - Oakland Raiders (2-7)
[16] - Tennessee Titans (2-7)
Three games are required for the Colts to clinch. There is a rare scenario where the Colts can miss the playoffs winning just two games.
If the Colts go 2-5 the rest of the way, they go 11-5.
If the Jaguars go 7-0, they go 12-4, better than the Colts for the division win. This includes victories over New England and Kansas City.
If the Jets go 7-0, they go 12-4.
San Diego or Denver can go 7-0, or split their two games and both go 6-1, putting one at 14-2 and 12-4, or both at 13-3. Both schedules would include a victory over Kansas City.
Assuming the Jaguars go 7-0, the Patriots can go at max 6-1, putting them at 12-4.
Baltimore is also capable of going 7-0, ending up at 14-2, with a victory over Kansas City.
This would put the standings at (assuming best case scenario):
Baltimore 14-2
Denver 14-2 or 13-3 or 12-4
San Diego 14-2 or 13-3 or 12-4
New England 12-4
Jacksonville 12-4
New York Jets 12-4
Indianapolis 11-5
The Colts are bumped out of the playoffs in this scenario. So basically if every team in this list above wins their next two games, it will require a third victory for the Colts to clinch a playoff spot.
New York Jets, even if they win out, are not guaranteed a playoff spot. If Jacksonville wins out (defeating Kansas City in the process), Jacksonville holds the head-to-head tiebreaker, 1-0. If Kansas City wins out (defeating Jacksonville in the process), they will hold the record-in-common-games tiebreaker, 4-1 to 3-2. Therefore if the Jets win out, they require the Cheifs to lose one game AND the Jaguars to lose a game.
If the Chargers win their next 5 games they will secure the #4 seed. They play Denver twice in the next 4 games. If they win both those games, and the game following, they are guaranteed of having at LEAST a tie with Denver in record. They would hold the 2-0 head-to-head tiebreaker and win the division.
Conversely, if Denver wins the next 5 games, they are guaranteed the division, with a record of at least 12-4. They would hold the 2-0 head-to-head tiebreaker over San Diego. Winning a 6th game guarantees Denver the #3 seed, due to a 1-0 head-to-head tiebreaker over New England, and 7 games guarantees them of a #2 seed because of a 1-0 head-to-head tiebreaker over Baltimore.
Tie breakers:
Broncos are 1-0 versus Ravens.
Jaguars (3-3) and Jets (4-4) have a better conference record than Cheifs (1-4).
Jaguars are 1-0 versus the Jets.
Texans (3-2) have a better conference record than all other 3-6 teams.
Browns (2-4) have the second best conference record among 3-6 teams.
Steelers (2-5) and Dolphins (2-5) have the third best conference record among 3-6 teams.
Steelers are 1-0 versus the Dolphins.
Bills (1-4) have the worst conference record among 3-6 teams.
Raiders (1-5) have a better conference record than the Titans (1-6).
NFC
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[1] - Chicago Bears (8-1) <3/3/6/5/4+2NO/3/-/->
[2] - New Orleans Saints (6-3) <-/5/-/7/-/-/-/->
[3] - Seattle Seahawks (6-3) <-/4/-/7+1Winner of NYG-NO game in W15/-/-/-/->
[4] - New York Giants (6-3) <-/6/-/7/-/-/-/->
[5] - Philadelphia Eagles (5-4) <6/-/-/-/-/-/7/6>
[6] - Carolina Panthers (5-4) <6/-/-/-/-/-/7+1DAL/6>
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[7] - Atlanta Falcons (5-4) <6/-/-/-/-/-/7/6>
[8] - Dallas Cowboys (5-4) <6/-/-/-/-/-/7/6>
[9] - Minnesota Vikings (4-5)
[10] - San Francisco 49ers (4-5)
[11] - St. Louis Rams (4-5)
[12] - Green Bay Packers (4-5)
[13] - Washington Redskins (3-6)
[14] - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-7)
[15] - Detroit Lions (2-7)
[16] - Arizona Cardinals (1-8)
Tiebreakers:
Saints (5-1) have the best conference record among 6-3 teams (others are 5-2).
Seahawks are 1-0 versus Giants.
Eagles (4-3) have the best conference record among 5-4 teams (rest are 3-3).
Order of strength of victory among remaining 5-4 teams: Panthers (20-25), Falcons (15-30), Cowboys (14-31)
Vikings (4-3) have the best conference record among 4-5 teams.
Rams (3-3) and 49ers (3-3) have the second best conference record among 4-5 teams.
49ers are 1-0 versus the Rams.
Packers (3-4) have the worst conference record among 4-5 teams.
Buccaneers (9-9) have a better strength of victory than the Lions (8-10).
The +1 +2 business means that the team following the +# has to lose # games along with the team winning the magic number of games for that to happen.
So for example, with the New England Patriots, for them to clinch the #2 seed they have to win 7 games AND have Baltimore and Denver lose 2 games a piece.
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