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Old 11-12-2006, 09:57 PM   #1
Tokar
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Default Playoff Standings Thread (thru week 10)

Current NFL Playoff Standings:

[Seed] - Team (Record) <Magic Number of games for playoffs/division/#1/#2/#3/#4/#5/#6>

AFC
--------
[1] - Indianapolis Colts (9-0) <3/3/5/4.5/4/3/-/->
[2] - Denver Broncos (7-2) <-/5/7+3IND/7/6/5/-/->
[3] - Baltimore Ravens (7-2) <-/3/7+3IND+1DEN/7+1DEN/6/-/-/->
[4] - New England Patriots (6-3) <-/7/7+4IND+2DEN+2BAL/7+2DEN+2BAL/7+1DEN or 2BAL/7/-/->
[5] - San Diego Chargers (7-2) <5/5/-/-/-/5/-/->
[6] - Jacksonville Jaguars (5-4) <7/-/-/-/-/-/-/7>
============================
[7] - New York Jets (5-4) <7/-/-/-/-/-/-/7+1KAN+1JAX>
[8] - Kansas City Cheifs (5-4) <7/-/-/-/-/-/-/7>
[9] - Cincinnati Bengals (4-5)
[10] - Houston Texans (3-6)
[11] - Cleveland Browns (3-6)
[12] - Pittsburgh Steelers (3-6)
[13] - Miami Dolphins (3-6)
[14] - Buffalo Bills (3-6)
[15] - Oakland Raiders (2-7)
[16] - Tennessee Titans (2-7)

Three games are required for the Colts to clinch. There is a rare scenario where the Colts can miss the playoffs winning just two games.
If the Colts go 2-5 the rest of the way, they go 11-5.
If the Jaguars go 7-0, they go 12-4, better than the Colts for the division win. This includes victories over New England and Kansas City.
If the Jets go 7-0, they go 12-4.
San Diego or Denver can go 7-0, or split their two games and both go 6-1, putting one at 14-2 and 12-4, or both at 13-3. Both schedules would include a victory over Kansas City.
Assuming the Jaguars go 7-0, the Patriots can go at max 6-1, putting them at 12-4.
Baltimore is also capable of going 7-0, ending up at 14-2, with a victory over Kansas City.

This would put the standings at (assuming best case scenario):
Baltimore 14-2
Denver 14-2 or 13-3 or 12-4
San Diego 14-2 or 13-3 or 12-4
New England 12-4
Jacksonville 12-4
New York Jets 12-4
Indianapolis 11-5

The Colts are bumped out of the playoffs in this scenario. So basically if every team in this list above wins their next two games, it will require a third victory for the Colts to clinch a playoff spot.

New York Jets, even if they win out, are not guaranteed a playoff spot. If Jacksonville wins out (defeating Kansas City in the process), Jacksonville holds the head-to-head tiebreaker, 1-0. If Kansas City wins out (defeating Jacksonville in the process), they will hold the record-in-common-games tiebreaker, 4-1 to 3-2. Therefore if the Jets win out, they require the Cheifs to lose one game AND the Jaguars to lose a game.

If the Chargers win their next 5 games they will secure the #4 seed. They play Denver twice in the next 4 games. If they win both those games, and the game following, they are guaranteed of having at LEAST a tie with Denver in record. They would hold the 2-0 head-to-head tiebreaker and win the division.
Conversely, if Denver wins the next 5 games, they are guaranteed the division, with a record of at least 12-4. They would hold the 2-0 head-to-head tiebreaker over San Diego. Winning a 6th game guarantees Denver the #3 seed, due to a 1-0 head-to-head tiebreaker over New England, and 7 games guarantees them of a #2 seed because of a 1-0 head-to-head tiebreaker over Baltimore.

Tie breakers:
Broncos are 1-0 versus Ravens.
Jaguars (3-3) and Jets (4-4) have a better conference record than Cheifs (1-4).
Jaguars are 1-0 versus the Jets.
Texans (3-2) have a better conference record than all other 3-6 teams.
Browns (2-4) have the second best conference record among 3-6 teams.
Steelers (2-5) and Dolphins (2-5) have the third best conference record among 3-6 teams.
Steelers are 1-0 versus the Dolphins.
Bills (1-4) have the worst conference record among 3-6 teams.
Raiders (1-5) have a better conference record than the Titans (1-6).


NFC
--------
[1] - Chicago Bears (8-1) <3/3/6/5/4+2NO/3/-/->
[2] - New Orleans Saints (6-3) <-/5/-/7/-/-/-/->
[3] - Seattle Seahawks (6-3) <-/4/-/7+1Winner of NYG-NO game in W15/-/-/-/->
[4] - New York Giants (6-3) <-/6/-/7/-/-/-/->
[5] - Philadelphia Eagles (5-4) <6/-/-/-/-/-/7/6>
[6] - Carolina Panthers (5-4) <6/-/-/-/-/-/7+1DAL/6>
============================
[7] - Atlanta Falcons (5-4) <6/-/-/-/-/-/7/6>
[8] - Dallas Cowboys (5-4) <6/-/-/-/-/-/7/6>
[9] - Minnesota Vikings (4-5)
[10] - San Francisco 49ers (4-5)
[11] - St. Louis Rams (4-5)
[12] - Green Bay Packers (4-5)
[13] - Washington Redskins (3-6)
[14] - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-7)
[15] - Detroit Lions (2-7)
[16] - Arizona Cardinals (1-8)

Tiebreakers:
Saints (5-1) have the best conference record among 6-3 teams (others are 5-2).
Seahawks are 1-0 versus Giants.
Eagles (4-3) have the best conference record among 5-4 teams (rest are 3-3).
Order of strength of victory among remaining 5-4 teams: Panthers (20-25), Falcons (15-30), Cowboys (14-31)
Vikings (4-3) have the best conference record among 4-5 teams.
Rams (3-3) and 49ers (3-3) have the second best conference record among 4-5 teams.
49ers are 1-0 versus the Rams.
Packers (3-4) have the worst conference record among 4-5 teams.
Buccaneers (9-9) have a better strength of victory than the Lions (8-10).



The +1 +2 business means that the team following the +# has to lose # games along with the team winning the magic number of games for that to happen.

So for example, with the New England Patriots, for them to clinch the #2 seed they have to win 7 games AND have Baltimore and Denver lose 2 games a piece.
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Old 11-13-2006, 01:47 AM   #2
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It takes a lot of logic to figure out how each works out...so give me some time and I will have everything figured out.
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Old 11-13-2006, 11:18 AM   #3
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1st seed in the NFC has been conceded to the Bears.... but I think 2nd is still up for grabs. At this point though, I'm just wishing on a playoff berth for the eagles. we'll beat tennessee next week and then lose to indy.
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Old 11-14-2006, 04:38 AM   #4
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If the Panthers and Eagles win next week, the Eagles will drop to the #6 seed.

Cowboys and Falcons are playing AFC teams, and wins will keep them at 3-3 conference record.
Eagles are playing an AFC team, so wins will keep their conference record at 4-3.
Panthers are playing St. Louis. So if they win they will take their conference record to 4-3, equaling the Eagles.

For the Panthers and the Eagles, the game in 3 weeks will be the deciding factor. Right now the only tiebreaker is the strength of victory, which Carolina leads right now (20 to 19 wins), and will extend next week if both teams win (24 to 21)...

Theres a good chance the Eagles will be in sole possession of the #5 seed after next week.
Falcons have 0 chance against the Ravens.
Dallas is playing Indy, however Eskin is saying Dallas will win.
And the Panthers have a tough conference foe in St. Louis...both in the hunt for the playoffs.

The Eagles play the measly Titans...lol.
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