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  • Kiper's NFC Draft Needs

    Kiper's 'Grade A' Draft

    By Mel Kiper
    ESPN.com



    You've already seen my first mock draft. Now it's time to take it further. Every year I hand out grades after the draft, and I even handed out draft grades this year after a full season. What gets you a good grade?

    It's a combination of addressing needs and drafting for value. You can do well if you properly address a huge need with a high pick, like Detroit did by taking Matthew Stafford at first overall. But if you address a need with a really bad value pick -- like Kansas City drafting Tyson Jackson last year at No. 3 -- it hurts your grade, particularly when you have multiple needs. If you address needs and get good value, such as Green Bay with B.J. Raji and Clay Matthews Jr., you've nailed it.

    So here's a primer, an early look at what could get teams an "A." I have lined up teams, their top needs, their first-round pick and then some possible second- and third-round picks. Again, these will change -- perhaps greatly -- as we get results from the Senior Bowl, the NFL combine and other workouts. Even some needs could change, but let's just say we can build from here and do it all again later. You'll see that some teams will have second- and third-round pick options overlap, as players are slotted there based on current grades. Here we go with the NFC (AFC tomorrow):


    NFC East



    Dallas Cowboys
    Top needs: LT, WR, FS, LB, CB
    First round (27): OT Bruce Campbell
    Second-round options (59): S Chad Jones, S DeAndre McDaniel, LB Sean Lee, LB Daryl Washington, WR Mardy Gilyard
    Third-round options (90): WR Jordan Shipley, LB Micah Johnson, CB Alterraun Verner, CB Trevard Lindley, S Harry Coleman
    Summary: I think any Dallas fan would be happy if the team lands a talented tackle late in the first round, and Campbell could be an exceptional value when it's all said and done, because he continues to improve. I actually think Dallas can upgrade at the WR position, and Gilyard or Shipley could help in the slot. The Cowboys need a free safety, and it'll be interesting to see what they do if, somehow, Taylor Mays were to fall all the way to No. 27. I also think a fourth CB would be good and the crop is unremarkable, but there's some depth. I like Verner better than some and Lindley's been good.


    New York Giants
    Top needs: MLB, DL, CB, S, RT, RB
    First round (15): DE Carlos Dunlap
    Second-round options (46): LB Brandon Spikes, LB Jamar Chaney, S Chad Jones, S Morgan Burnett, CB Perrish Cox, CB Kyle Wilson
    Third-round options (74): RB James Starks, LB Darryl Sharpton, OT Chris Scott, OT Tony Washington, CB Myron Lewis
    Summary: People might question the idea of taking Dunlap, but if you have a guy capable of being taken in the top five still there at No. 15, you're getting a remarkable value. Meanwhile, people point to the Giants' secondary, but the team quietly was in the bottom half of the NFL in sacks, and nothing helps a secondary better than a pass rush. You won't want a CB at No. 15, because after Haden there's a huge drop-off, so it's better to add help at LB or in the secondary with the next two picks. I can also see the Giants tempted if a RB they have rated really high is still there in Round 3.


    Philadelphia Eagles
    Top needs: FS, OLB, DE, RB, CB
    First round (24): Navorro Bowman
    Second-round options (55): S Reshad Jones, DE George Selvie , RB Joe McKnight, S Chad Jones
    Third-round options (87): DE Willie Young, DE Brandon Lang, RB Dexter McCluster, CB Donovan Warren, CB Walter Thurmond
    Summary: With no impact safety available at No. 24, Bowman makes a lot of sense both in terms of value and scheme. You could then see the Eagles go for whoever they have rated highest at safety in the next round. There's plenty of depth in this draft along the defensive line, so you can get a really good defensive end into the third and even fourth rounds. With Brian Westbrook's future in question, it'll be interesting to see if the Eagles are tempted by a player like Jahvid Best, who could be around at No. 24. They hit a home run the last time they took a playmaker out of Cal, as we all know.


    Washington Redskins
    Top needs: QB, OT, RB, G, DE
    First round (4): Sam Bradford
    Second-round options (37): OT Charles Brown, OT Selvish Capers, RB Jahvid Best
    Third-round options: No third-round picks (used in the supplemental draft)
    Summary: For a roster that really needs an infusion of talent and depth, you could question the quarterback pick so early, but Bradford represents a chance to get a franchise quarterback, and again, you're getting the player many had pegged as the No. 1 option for the Lions last year had he jumped. You expect Mike Shanahan to retool the offensive line, and both Brown and Capers are the athletic types Shanahan prefers.

  • #2
    NFC West

    NFC West



    Arizona Cardinals
    Top needs: LT, DT, CB, OLB, QB
    First round (26): DT Dan Williams
    Second-round options (5: OT Selvish Capers, OT Tony Washington, CB Javier Arenas, CB Kareem Jackson, OLB Jerry Hughes
    Third-round options (89): OT Kyle Calloway, CB Akwasi Owusu-Ansah, CB Myron Lewis, QB Daryll Clark, OLB Antonio Coleman
    Summary: I like the Williams pick because you need a great guy in the middle of that 3-4, and Williams is tremendously strong and is a guy that can occupy blockers. The Cardinals would be smart to get the best value they can at tackle, particularly with the idea that this could be Matt Leinart's team, and protecting him and giving him time has to be a huge priority. You could also see them getting a great value edge rusher or a CB for a secondary that got torched in the playoffs.


    San Francisco 49ers
    Top needs: RT, G, DE, S, CB
    First round (13): Trent Williams
    Second-round options (49): G Mike Iupati, DE Corey Wooton, S Morgan Burnett, CB Kyle Wilson
    Third-round options (79): G Jon Asamoah, CB Syd'Quan Thompson, S Major Wright, DE Hall Davis, DE D.J. Wilson, OLB Rico McCoy
    Summary: Some people will consider taking a RT at No. 13 a bit of a leap in terms of value, but Williams is an outstanding player that can strengthen you immediately. If the 49ers go with a guard, Iupati is a fantastic one, and the offensive line gets a lot better overnight. From there the Niners could try to get good value in the secondary or look for a DE or even a pass-rushing OLB. I can also see San Francisco taking a later-rounds shot on a QB, but this team needs to focus on more glaring needs early on.


    Seattle Seahawks
    Top needs: LT, QB, DE, RB, FS
    First round (6, 14): DE Derrick Morgan, RB C.J. Spiller
    Second-round options (40): OT Charles Brown, OT Selvish Capers, S Chad Jones
    Third-round options: No third-round picks
    Summary: I think Morgan can be a help to the Seattle defense immediately as a versatile defensive end, a guy capable of getting to the quarterback, making tackles in the run game and playing every down. A lot of people expect Seattle to take a tackle or a quarterback with one of these two picks, but I can see the 'Hawks grabbing Spiller if he's there as both a great value and because their offense desperately needs a playmaker. If Clausen somehow fell ... maybe. If they don't go with a tackle with one of the first two picks, it's hard to believe they won't hope for a guy like Brown to fall to them at No. 40. They won't ignore the offensive line completely.


    St. Louis Rams
    Top needs: QB, WR, DT, TE, OLB, RB
    First round (1): DT Ndamukong Suh
    Second-round options (33): RB Jahvid Best, WR Arrelious Benn, OLB Sean Weatherspoon, TE Rob Gronkowski
    Third-round options (65): QB Colt McCoy, TE Ed Dickson, OLB Perry Riley, OLB Jerry Hughes, WR Damian Williams
    Summary: The Rams only have a need for Suh insomuch as anybody could need the clearly most dominating player on the board at this stage. Unless they can get out of the pick, Suh is the safest choice. You have to suspect there's a chance that a team that desperately needs to figure out their QB situation could fall in love with a guy like Jimmy Clausen, but we don't know that yet. They could also have Michael Vick in town next year, for all we know. The Rams have needs everywhere. They have a good RB in Steven Jackson, but Best could add a new dimension. They need a WR, they need a TE, they need an OLB. They have other needs, but these are the most glaring, so they should get the best value they can at every pick.

    Comment


    • #3
      NFC North

      NFC North



      Chicago Bears
      Top needs: RT, G, WR, DT, CB
      First round: No first-round picks
      Second-round options: No second-round picks
      Third-round options (75): WR Dezmon Briscoe, OT Tony Washington, DT D'Anthony Smith, CB Brandon Ghee, G Jon Asamoah
      Summary: It'll be quiet for a while in the Bears' war room. They don't have a first-round pick, but they have Jay Cutler to show for it. Their second-round pick went to Tampa Bay, and tragically for the team and the league, Gaines Adams, the player they received for that pick, passed away. The Bears need to get younger along the offensive line, and they also need to supply Jay Cutler with another WR. The issue is that they are already so young at that position that the draft -- and the third round -- may not be the best place to address it. Look for the Bears to find, quite simply, the best value they can.


      Detroit Lions
      Top needs: CB, DT, DE, OT, WR, RB
      First round (2): DT Gerald McCoy
      Second-round options (34):, CB Perrish Cox, DE Greg Hardy, WR Arrelious Benn, RB Jahvid Best, OT Charles Brown
      Third-round options (66): DE Willie Young, WR Damian Williams, CB Donovan Warren, CB Dominique Franks, RB James Starks, OT Selvish Capers
      Summary: The Lions can't go wrong at No. 2 because if the Rams decide to pass on Suh they win, and if Suh is off the board you have McCoy, a tremendous talent in his own right, and a guy who can help the Detroit defense in 2010. The Lions obviously will want to deepen their offensive line to benefit the rising Matthew Stafford, and should also consider getting help at WR and RB, where Kevin Smith is adequate, but not dynamic, and his health is a big issue. The Lions need to get a lot better up front on defense, and if they get McCoy and then add a DE in the second or third round, from a deep class in that area, they should grade out well.


      Green Bay Packers
      Top needs: OT, S, RB, LB, CB
      First round (23): S Taylor Mays
      Second-round options (56): OT/G Vladimir Ducasse, , OT Selvish Capers, RB Ryan Mathews, RB Joe McKnight,
      Third-round options (86): RB Montario Hardesty, LB Patrick Angerer, OT Kyle Calloway, CB Trevard Lindley
      Summary: Need meets value in Round 1 when the Packers solve a problem in the secondary by getting the maligned but undeniably talented Taylor Mays, who showed some caution this year both in coverage and as a tackler, but didn't get a lot of help from a very young USC defense. The Packers need to continue to build the offensive line because Aaron Rodgers was under too much pressure this year, but I also think they want to add depth and talent to the RB position. And you never have too many talented LBs in the 3-4 Dom Capers has installed.


      Minnesota Vikings
      Top needs: CB, G/C, DT, MLB, OLB, QB
      First round (30): CB Patrick Robinson
      Second-round options (62): G Jon Asamoah, LB Daryl Washington, OLB Rennie Curran
      Third-round options (93): C J.D. Walton, DT Al Woods, OLB Rod Muckelroy, CB Brian Jackson, QB Tim Tebow, DT Lamarr Houston
      Summary: Robinson would be an ideal pick in Round 1. He's the No. 2 CB in the entire draft class right now, behind Florida's Joe Haden, and he has the experience to be able to help out in nickel coverage right away. Obviously, the uncertainty at QB is an issue, but I think the Vikings will want to also address the interior of the offensive line, as well as look for a possible partner or heir to Pat Williams along the defensive front. Drafting at a strength position isn't always a bad idea. I think given the injury to E.J. Henderson, depth in the linebacking corps is need. The Vikings look great at the skill positions, so defense and the interiors should be the focus.

      Comment


      • #4
        NFC South

        NFC South



        Atlanta Falcons
        Top needs: DE, CB, OL, LB, WR
        First round (19): OLB Sergio Kindle
        Second-round options: No second-round picks
        Third-round options (73): DE Jason Worilds, CB Dominique Franks, CB Syd'Quan Thompson, WR Eric Decker, LB Daryl Washington, TE Garrett Graham
        Summary: The Falcons tied for 26th in the NFL in sacks in 2009, so anybody that gives them some help in getting to the quarterback is a good thing. Kindle is probably undersized as a pure 4-3 DE, but he can help in pass-rushing situations. Kindle could also convert to an upright. I think the Falcons would be thrilled if a guy like Griffen fell to them at No. 19. They could also use help at CB, and I actually think they should add some depth at the WR position, because as Matt Ryan enters his third year he'll be able to do more -- and more talent at receiver, or even an apprentice to Tony Gonzalez, wouldn't be a bad idea.


        Carolina Panthers
        Top needs: QB, WR, DT, TE
        First round: No first-round picks
        Second-round options (4: WR Brandon LaFell, WR Damian Williams, DT Arthur Jones
        Third-round options (76): DT Gene Atkins, DT Vince Oghobaase, WR Damaryius Thomas, WR Mike Williams, QB Tim Tebow, QB Sean Canfield, QB Dan LeFevour
        Summary: I was hard on the Panthers in my grades last year for trading away a first-round pick to get in position to draft Everette Brown, and it can't feel good to be outside of a loaded first round. That said, a team that really needs WRs can get a good one in Round 2. I have QB as a need simply because the team needs to get settled, and even if they think they have something with Matt Moore, they might as well consider adding a young arm behind him. In the meantime, find Moore some targets, and then consider depth on the defensive line. If a guy like Jones fell to No. 48 -- which isn't likely at this stage -- they'd be tempted.


        New Orleans Saints
        Top needs: OLB, DT, S
        First round (31): DT Jared Odrick
        Second-round options (62): LB Sean Lee, LB Sean Weatherspoon, LB Daryl Washington, S Larry Asante, S Morgan Burnett
        Third-round options (92): LB Micah Johnson, S Harry Coleman, RB Dexter McCluster
        Summary: The pick of Odrick isn't supposed to be a statement, an admittance that Sedrick Ellis was a bad pick two years ago. The bottom line is that Odrick is a great value. The Saints will need to continue to improve against the run and extremely talented interior linemen like Odrick that can let your LBs run free are guys you can't have enough of. Weatherspoon and Lee are both guys that would have to fall, but either could be a second-round home run. A great safety value could be an option, or a guy like McCluster, who Sean Payton could do a lot with if, for some unlikely reason, Reggie Bush ends up elsewhere.


        Tampa Bay Buccaneers
        Top needs: WR, S, DE, DT, G, CB
        First round (3): S Eric Berry
        Second-round options (35): WR Arrelious Benn, WR Brandon LaFell, DE Greg Hardy, DT Arthur Jones, CB Perrish Cox
        Third-round options (67): G Jon Asamoah, CB Kareem Jackson, DT D'Anthony Smith, DE George Selvie, DE Willie Young, WR Dezmon Briscoe, WR Eric Decker
        Summary: Safety isn't the top need position I see on this team, but there's no reason at all to pass up a guy like Berry, who is rightfully compared to Ed Reed and can change the image of your defense from the safety position. He's just an exceptional talent that will help immediately. I think the Bucs need to give some help to their young quarterback and if Benn is sitting there at No. 35, he represents great value. Help along the interior and edges of the defensive line is imperative, so the Bucs can't go wrong with the top value available there in Round 2 or 3. Getting Selvie, who played his college games in the same stadium, would be a solid grab at No. 67 overall.

        Comment


        • #5
          No comments about him claiming safety as our top need..........

          Personally, I think DE outweighs our need at OLB right now.
          http://shop.cafepress.com/content/global/img/spacer.gifOK, let's try this again...

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by FRESH View Post
            No comments about him claiming safety as our top need..........

            Personally, I think DE outweighs our need at OLB right now.
            I am not sold on Navarro here, but this draft is deep at DE and Safeties. This is a best player available spot I hate to say.

            Comment


            • #7
              I don't expect them to draft a LB in the first round. The last LB the Eagles took in the first round was Jerry Robinson in 1979.

              I wouldn't be surprised if they go CB in the first round. Reid likes three strong CB's to match up with the numerous 3 WR sets that most teams run. Brown and Samuel are good starters, but if Reid moves Brown over to FS, that'll be the indicator they are going CB in the draft or FA. Even if he doesn't, I think Reid will go CB.

              Remember the drafting mantra of this organization - build from the inside out (linemen) and also secure the corner positions. LB's are not the priority even though we see the weakness there.

              Comment


              • #8
                I'd take either of the Jones's at safety

                I already went on record that I want Reshad Jones in round 2

                I would also LOVE to have Jahvid Best. Kid reminds me alot of Westbrook in his heyday

                Comment


                • #9
                  Unfortunately, Jahvid Best reminds me of Westbrook this year with his concussion issues. He had two last year, and that was in addition to surgeries to his elbow and his foot.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Best is going to drop like a stone. Concussion concerns and depth at the position will force him in to the very late 3rd round... possibly even the 4th round.
                    You know Darren if you'd have told me 10 years ago that someday I was going to solve the world's energy problems I'd have said your crazy.... now lets drop this big ball of oil out the window.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Young pass rushing talent is the most important important thing to add in this year's draft. We're sorely deficient in this department - Cole is literally the only impact pass rusher drafted by the team in the last five years. What pass rushers we have - Parker, Howard - are getting up there.

                      Linebacker is actually not quite as desperate as it looks. With a healthy Jordan and Bradley the situation looks a LOT better. Certainly wouldn't argue with adding a top talent but it's not a screaming need.

                      After pass rush, I might even say the second most important need is cornerback.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by IMK View Post
                        Young pass rushing talent is the most important important thing to add in this year's draft. We're sorely deficient in this department - Cole is literally the only impact pass rusher drafted by the team in the last five years. What pass rushers we have - Parker, Howard - are getting up there.

                        Linebacker is actually not quite as desperate as it looks. With a healthy Jordan and Bradley the situation looks a LOT better. Certainly wouldn't argue with adding a top talent but it's not a screaming need.

                        After pass rush, I might even say the second most important need is cornerback.
                        I pretty much agree with all of this. The Eagles haven't had a decent pass rush out of their front 4 in quite a while. They have to go to the blitz to get pressure. When it works it's great, when it doesn't they have problems. Getting some pass rush out of the D line is priority #1 to fix the defense. I also think that adding a top notch corner prospect would be better than drafting a safety early.

                        I'm also concerned about the center position on offense. They could use some upgrades on the O line. I think MJG needs to go. He stinks. They may have to spend some resources on the O-line.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by Eaglebreath View Post
                          I pretty much agree with all of this. The Eagles haven't had a decent pass rush out of their front 4 in quite a while. They have to go to the blitz to get pressure. When it works it's great, when it doesn't they have problems. Getting some pass rush out of the D line is priority #1 to fix the defense. I also think that adding a top notch corner prospect would be better than drafting a safety early.

                          I'm also concerned about the center position on offense. They could use some upgrades on the O line. I think MJG needs to go. He stinks. They may have to spend some resources on the O-line.
                          Even the O-line, if we do nothing, has guys like the Andrews brothers in the mix. Like linebacker, it's a position I'm more than happy to add a top talent (and I'm sure we'll see a mid-late rounder or two like always) but the position could potentially improve on its own next year with better health and experience.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            IMO the question on the O-line right now is center. Will Jamal Jackson be healthy? I doubt it. At the very least the Eagles need to sign a stopgap guy at center or guard (Kevin Manwe?). I'm fine with Cole playing center, I think as a blocker he is better and more athletic than Jackson (the issue with snaps will be worked out. I played center in high school and I practiced snapping with the QB for 15 minutes before and after every practice). I just don't want to see MJG anywhere near the field.
                            Whatcha Gonna Do Brother, When the Eagles run wild on you?

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              I wouldn't mind getting Dexter McCluster in the third round. He is small, but can scoot. He was the entire offense at Ole Miss. For us, he would be like a poor man's Felix Jones.

                              "Nobody in football should be called a genius. A genius is a guy like Norman Einstein." - Joe Theismann



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